Election 2024 – Past and Present Calls

by Robert Wilkinson

I’ve made an election call in every presidential election this century. Today’s call will be of a different but similar nature to the others, without a thousand astrological considerations.

Some backstory. While I’ve been an astrologer since 1971, I was trained in political and election analysis by the pioneer of demographic poll analysis in the 1980s and 1990s. I learned about polling, demographics, sampling, the difference between registered voters and likely voters and more. That’s why I tend to focus more on the real world conditions than looking at candidates’ charts, since the real world “preempts the playing field” when it comes to outcomes.

I absolutely reject an attitude held by some astrologers that we cannot be critical of a candidate and be objective at the same time. That’s just wishy-washy. Those are people who cannot separate fact from opinion. One can have an opinion AND be factual at the same time.

2000

I made election calls in earlier decades, but never in the media. My first media election call was 2000 when I was on Coast to Coast AM in October with an audience of (I was told) between 4 and 7 million listeners. I predicted that mess specifically even in small particulars. When my prediction of that election and the aftermath were proved accurate, they had me back on in November and asked for a candidate call. I told the audience that “Al Gore will be our first uninaugurated president.” I’d say that was an accurate call.

That was the election when I found out republicans had stripped tens of thousands of voters from the rolls in Florida, and through connections there I also found out that Governor Jeb Bush had dispatched dozens of county sheriffs to set up roadblocks so that hundreds of “souls to the polls” carpools were stopped and threatened with arrest if they didn’t have a taxi license. They were given the choice of arrest or returning home and not being on the road again. It is estimated that at least 50,000 POC were prevented for voting for Al Gore in Florida, a state he lost by a few hundred votes. (And yes, had the statewide recount be allowed, research found that Al Gore would have been our president.)

2004

In 2004 I was part of a second tier national political group blog and part of a team of blog investigators who uncovered and reported on the Diebold, ES&S, and other voting systems scandal which threw Ohio to republicans so W could win that year. That election was clearly stolen, there was proof, people went to prison for crimes related to the cheating, but as I told readers back then, “there is no legal remedy for a stolen election.” Voter disenfranchisement was of course a factor in that election, as it has been in every election since. That year‘s election call article was lost forever when Salon shut down its blogs.

2008

In 2008, this site began its run of archived election calls with the article https://ift.tt/aqGdbQw Election Call - Explaining American Politics and Election 2008. When you’re done here, please take a look since I cover everything which was broken in the system then, and predicted the fracturing of the republican party. I just didn’t know it could turn out as badly as it has since white supremacists and radical evangelicals took control of the party followed by a con man and grifter with as much contempt for the public as Lonesome Rhodes.

While I nailed the problem and predicted Obama would be elected, I also was overly optimistic about the Congressional turnout and how it would impact legislation. At the time I didn’t know how obstructive Moscow Mitch would be. But as the article makes clear, the only way Obama could lose was through voter disenfranchisement or evote machine malfunctions. These were primitive machines which could be hacked any number of ways, and were. It was all well documented by political blogging experts in that field, of which Greg Palast and Brad Blog were two.

2008 was the second election where I wrote about the Dixville Notch chart. That is a hamlet in NH which opens the voting place just after midnight on election day. I figured that is the beginning of the election, and the votes cast there have always been a significant indicator of who will win. So I did an extensive analysis of that chart in this article https://ift.tt/DVZ1OcX Election 2008 - The Dixville Notch Chart It is a good class in reading an election chart, so if you’re interested in contest analysis, please check it out when you’re done here.

2012

In 2012, I gave you https://ift.tt/0IHkYqs Election Call - Explaining American Politics and Election 2012 Where I noted the problems related to polls, pollsters, republican obstruction, voter disenfranchisement, and the “patches” on the evote machines republicans were assuming would flip enough votes in key districts. I also went into the dirty tricks, how a republican IT specialist testifying he hacked the vote mysteriously died in a place crash and more.

The day after this article I published my Dixville Notch chart analysis, and the same day I did an analysis of a horary chart asking who would win the 2012 election. Again, good classes in chart analysis for those of you who are interested in my technique for reading charts.

2016 & 2020

I made calls in the 2016 and 2020 elections which are in the archives. What stands out in my memory of 2016 is that I was interviewed on internet radio that Summer right after the convicted felon stalked Ms. Clinton around the stage. In that show I stated that the images from that “debate” outraged women everywhere, whether they were conscious of it or not. Like a brutal ex getting a little too close and not respecting space or showing any decency whatsoever.

I predicted on air that the 2016 election would begin the rise of women participating in government and voting, and that there would be an ever-growing number of women running for national and state offices. That prediction has been proved accurate ever since. I said I thought there would be at least 115-130 in the House and at least 25 in the Senate by 2024. After the 2022 mid-terms, Pew Research reported 128 women in the House, and 25 in the Senate. The numbers will only get larger from here in the long run.

Here I’ll state that the common assumptions about why Ms. Clinton lost are totally wrong. That election was stolen via “Crosscheck,” a republican run national effort to strip legal democratic voters from the voter rolls in swing states. They targeted by name, by people not returning post cards or answering phone calls, and all kinds of other nasty techniques.

Examples were two people sharing the same first and last name but a different middle initial. Both would be stripped. They left notices on door that the resident would be stripped if the registrars didn’t hear back within a short period of time. Some who had recently moved were told they couldn’t vote because they hadn’t done their paperwork fast enough. Discrepancies in DMV records stripped even more.

The result was that over a million legal voters were stripped from the rolls in MI, WI, and PA. She lost those states by a total of 79,000 votes. Do the math. She lost NOT because she didn’t visit enough; she lost because a million democrats were stripped from the rolls. Oh yes. There was another million stripped from NC, GA, and FL before that election. And provisional ballots were rarely if ever counted in many red states. Of course they’re doing it again in 2024.

2024

Which brings us to now. I decided to stop doing the Dixville Notch analyses because that’s not really when the election “begins.” It begins with early voting everywhere. And since those are state issue, and not a national influence, it makes no sense to use any of those charts except maybe to analyze how a state will vote.

At my favorite political astrology site, https://ift.tt/U3XmG2D Mundane Astrologers, we’ve had dozens of vigorous discussions about which charts one should use. I’ve seen Vedic predictions for both candidates, Western birth chart predictions for both candidates, the chart for Washington’s inauguration as the inception of the line of presidents, the Autumn ingress chart, and other predictive techniques. And I’ve seen astrologers twist themselves into pretzels justifying this or that technique, and even bounce from one prediction to another due to other factors, hedging their bets all the way.

Again this season no astrologer dares to take a challenge I’ve made for 25 years: if you believe you can predict the outcome of an election (or any contest for that matter), if that election is determined by cheating, then it’s not enough to make a prediction on which candidate wins. You have to determine where in the charts the cheating is shown.

If cheating is the determining factor in an election, then it must be in the charts somewhere. I’ve heard astrologers try to state it’s all in the candidates’ charts and predetermined. If so, then the cheating must be evident since that was part of the determination. Again, not one astrologer has taken me up on the challenge.

Roevember

I have seen my 2016 prediction come to the forefront of this election with the overwhelming registration of women, who young and old are ALL in for Ms. Harris. Even in red states, women of all ages are mobilizing to restore the right to their own healthcare choices. This is Roevember, folks!

The media have downplayed the female registration and mobilization factors this entire election. They have screamed about the economy and just about everything else except the notion that republicans have demonstrated they will gladly allow women to die from health complications related to pregnancies. Full stop.

That’s why women will deliver this election to Ms. Harris in a huge way. Even if they are not of child bearing age, they’re still alarmed that their daughters and granddaughters could wind up dead because a physician won’t treat them for fear of going to prison. Women across the nation are voting for the right to make their own medical decisions. The republican party is dying on that hill in every state.

The Big Picture

As with past elections, there are many tens of thousands who won’t get to vote because they were stripped and it takes time to find out and re-register. While democrats have been on the ball and helped mitigate these efforts, some courts are good with disallowing thousands of legal voters their right to vote. And there are already attempts to position felonious fake electors from 2020 in key state voting oversight positions,

Remember that because of the messed up way we conduct elections, mostly our votes don’t count for much unless we live in one of seven or eight states. The electoral college ensures that some states are “baked red” or “baked blue” especially due to the republican leaning Supreme Court allowing egregious gerrymandering so that a purple state can be dominated by overwhelmingly twisted districts favoring a red or blue legislature.

So really our national election is determined by a handful of states. And women are turning out in overwhelming numbers in every one, and they’re voting for Ms. Harris at a 2-to-1 rate. For you number crunchers, that’s a HUGE gap, larger than any other voter demographic.

There is also an increasing turnout in the under 30 demographic, which is a welcome development since the future belongs to the young. They have always voted in fewer numbers historically, right up to the last couple of elections when more have mobilized. Republicans have thrown every obstacle in the path of young people registering and voting, but through sheer persistence, legal efforts, and long term GOTV on college campuses, they are voting for their future.

This election started as two old men arguing which unexpectedly turned into a ranting hateful old man running against a dynamic professional woman who has accomplished a lot. In this final part of the campaign, we’ve seen it become a contest of a women trying to unify a nation against a profane violent misogynist running on his dictatorial promises and his odious Agenda 47/Project 2025, which is almost universally hated.

I believed the polls months ago which asked about voter satisfaction with Biden v the felon when too many of them came back as “neither of them.” That’s why the lackluster support for Biden turned into a massive wave of enthusiasm for a candidate who isn’t pushing 80.

I see a media cowed by threats of retribution, so they all say it’s a 50/50 tossup. Polling has been cooked to irrelevancy in this election. Many are bogus, with interpreters being paid by people who want a thumb on the scale.

I do not believe it’s that close, except for the Senate. I see Kamala Harris winning by a huge margin in states the media refuses to call or insist lean republican.

While the WVA Senate seat will go to the republicans, MT is still too close to call as the republican candidate keeps shooting himself in the foot with provable lies. NB could yield a republican loss, as could TX, since football’s a religion in TX and the democratic party candidate is ex-NFL. (Yes, Texans are that peculiar. And no one likes Cruz. They may have voted for him in the past but they still didn’t like him. They just hated democrats more.)

Yes, there will be isolated incidents of violence. There will be charges of ballot fraud. There will be unsubstantiated rumors of immigrants voting and having pet barbeques afterwards. There will be attempts to disrupt the count and disrupt the certification of state electors.

There will be a hundred lawsuits or more, all by republicans trying to overturn or dismiss the results. And there will be countersuits by democrats trying to frustrate the republican efforts to install a demented would be dictator running on revenge and authoritarian promises. That’s what I predict will happen over the next few weeks.

I’d be surprised if there is any organized attack like J6, because the democrats currently are in office and they will not allow a repeat of the desecration of our Capitol. I see all the violence and monkeywrenching happening on the state and local level in the efforts to refuse to certify a democratic party victory. Again, expect a slew of lawsuits in various swing states.

So my call is that Ms. Harris will win big despite republican efforts to strip the rolls of legal voters. The only way she will not be inaugurated is if the republican party manages to get the support of the Supreme Court to throw the election to the House where republicans only need the votes of 26 states to install a dictator. But that’s so extreme as to be America’s nightmare, and that would unleash the fury of most of the nation. It already happened in 2000.

If the Supreme Court installs the felon as president, we will fall into perpetual turmoil as a nation. But somehow I don’t see that happening. I see Ms. Harris elected with over 300 EVs. I see Democrats taking the House with a margin of at least 8 seats, and barring something unexpected, a tie in the Senate between democrats and republicans.

Have fun going through those earlier articles. They cover a lot of political and astrological ground.

© Copyright 2024 Robert Wilkinson

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